<Criminal Law Essays and Dissertations

The effect of minimum wage on unemployment in the UK

Extract 1 : History of the National Minimum Wage
Extract 2 : Labour Market Impact
Extract 3 : Literature Survey
Extract 4 : Survey
Extract 5 : Results and Analysis

Literature Review

Kaushik Basu et al :Cornell University - Department of Economics; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Research Paper 1997

Unemployment and Wage Rigidity when Labour Supply is a Household Decision

If people's labour-supply decisions are taken at the level of the household, it is natural to expect aggregate demand and unemployment to influence the supply curve of labour. An increase in unemployment could prompt households to send more workers out in search of work to insure against the risk of the primary worker getting unemployed (the "added worker effect"). But it could also discourage people from wasting energy searching for work (the "discouragement effect"). While these effects have been studied empirically, their theoretical bases remain largely unexplored. The present paper formally models household labour supply decisions and establishes sufficient conditions for the domination of one effect over the other. A number of surprising results are established, such as the possibility of multiple equilibrium in the labour Market and how the announcement of a minimum wage policy can result in an overall lowering of wages and also give rise to an equilibrium which displays, simultaneously, excess demand and excess supply of labour. The model shows how the empirical literature may have a bias in overestimating the strength of the discouragement effect. It also provides a framework for analyzing the effects of minimum wage policy and the provision of unemployment benefits. It is argued that certain kinds of unemployment benefits can be justified on grounds of efficiency

Grossman et al:Brown University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1981-04-01 :

NBER Working Paper No. W0653

This paper considers the possible employment effects of reforming minimum-wage policy to incorporate indexation of the nominal minimum wage. The analysis assumes that both the demand for the labour services of minimum-wage workers and the setting of the nominal minimum wage rate under existing policy depend in part on rational expectations of future average wage rates. The analysis implies that, if the indexation ratio of the nominal minimum wage to the recent-past average wage rate were large relative both to the level and trend of the expected rate of average wage inflation and to the existing relative minimum-wage target, indexation would decrease the average level over time of minimum-wage employment. The analysis also implies that, if the year-to-year variation in expected wage inflation were large relative to the year-to-year variation in unexpected wage inflation, indexation would increase the year-to-year variation in minimum-wage employment.
R.Sobel:West Virginia University - Department of Economics

Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 107, Issue 4, August 1999

Theory and Evidence on the Political Economy of the Minimum Wage

Abstract:
This paper examines how closely the minimum wage has been set to the most popularly stated goals of minimum-wage policy. I first estimate these goals: the minimum-wage rate at which the relevant labour demand is unitary elastic--maximizing the total earnings of minimum-wage workers (about $5.35)--and the level that would lift a typical minimum-wage worker's family out of poverty about $5.17). I can reject that actual minimum-wage policy has been driven by a desire to achieve these goals and find that a simple interest group model best explains the historical path of the minimum-wage rate.

OLM Waldman
Bard College - General
July 1997 :Levy Economics Institute WP #197

Minimum Wage and Justice?

Abstract:
Much of the debate over the minimum wage in recent years has essentially involved one between those arguing the adverse effect of raising the minimum wage--particularly among teenagers--and those who maintain that increases in the minimum wage would not only alleviate the poverty of some, but offer an attractive alternative to welfare. Often absent from the discussions have been grounded considerations of equity and justice. On the contrary, substantive questions of justice are at the root of the debate. And were the minimum wage to be approached from a more philosophical framework--as opposed to the impartiality of a cost-benefit analysis--a stronger case could be made for the minimum wage. This paper ultimately argues that a strong moral case for the minimum wage requires strong philosophical arguments.

Grossman et al :Brown University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1982-01-01

NBER Working Paper No. W0652

Abstract:
This study investigates the effects of Federal minimum wage policy on minimum wage employment, aggregate employment, and average wage rates. The theoretical analysis focuses on the possible effect of the Federal minimum wage in constraining wages and employment in a subset of labour markets, on the possible responses of labour suppliers to these constraints, and on the possible role of the policy of presetting the nominal minimum wage in making monetary policy no neutral. Among the elements of the theoretical framework that are both distinctive and important are the assumptions that both the demands and supplies of labour services in the subset of constrained markets depend on the expected relative minimum wage in the near and distant future, as well as on the current relative minimum wage and on past levels of employment, and that the relevant expectations of both workers and employers about relative minimum wages are "rational."

Minimum Wages and Employment in France and the United States

John Abowd et al
Cornell University - School of Industrial and Labour Relations; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
March 1999

NBER Working Paper No. W6996

Abstract:
We use longitudinal individual wage and employment data in France and the United States to investigate the effect of changes in the real minimum wage on an individual's employment status. We find that movements in both French and American real minimum wages are associated with mild employment effects in general and very strong effects on workers employed at the minimum wage. In the French case, a 1% increase in the real minimum wage decreases the future employment probability of a man (respectively, a woman) currently employed at the minimum wage by 1.3% (1.0%). In the United States, a decrease in the real minimum wage of 1% increases the probability that a man (woman) employed at the minimum wage came from unemployment in the previous year by 0.4% (1.6%).

David Weil :Harvard University - John F. Kennedy School of Government; Boston University - School of Management
Social Science Research Network 2003

Compliance with the Minimum Wage: Can Government Make a Difference?

Abstract:
This paper examines patterns of compliance and non-compliance with federal minimum wage laws in the U.S. apparel industry and analyzes the impact of new methods of intervention designed to improve regulatory performance. Drawing on contractor-level data from a randomized survey of apparel contractors, the paper assesses the major correlates of compliance with minimum wage provisions of the Fair Labour Standards Act. It then evaluates the impact of agreements between manufacturers and the government used to monitor contractor behaviour as a means of improving compliance outcomes. Non-compliance is significantly correlated with characteristics predicted by theory including employer size, skill content, and the elasticity of labour and product demand. Nonetheless, stringent forms of contractor monitoring are associated with significant reductions in the presence, incidence, and severity of violations of minimum wage standards.

David Neumark et al
Public Policy Institute of California; Michigan State University; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

NBER Working Paper No. W7519

Abstract:
This paper provides evidence on a wide set of margins along which labour markets can adjust in response to increases in the minimum wage, including wages, hours, employment, and ultimately labour income, representing the central margins of adjustment that impact the economic well-being of workers potentially affected by minimum wage increases. The evidence indicates that workers initially earning near the minimum wage are adversely affected by minimum wage increases, while, not surprisingly, higher-wage workers are little affected. Although wages of low-wage workers increase, their hours and employment decline, and the combined effect of these changes is a decline in earned income.

Bibliography

International Labour Organization Survey Reports 1987:2002

The Report from the Inland Revenues 1999:2002

The National Commission for the Minimum Wage Reports 1999:2002.

Research Methodology: Greene & Taal

OCED Reports on United Kingdom: 1990:2002

Extract 1 : History of the National Minimum Wage
Extract 2 : Labour Market Impact
Extract 3 : Literature Survey
Extract 4 : Survey
Extract 5 : Results and Analysis


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